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Lands' End (Lands' End) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.11% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Lands' End Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Lands' End's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.11%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Lands' End's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Lands' End's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lands' End's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Lands' End's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lands' End's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Lands' End Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.85

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.11%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Lands' End  (NAS:LE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Lands' End Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Lands' End (Lands' End) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1 Lands' End Lane, Dodgeville, WI, USA, 53595
Lands' End Inc is a United States-based multi-channel retailer of casual clothing, accessories, and footwear, as well as home products. The company's operating segment includes U.S. eCommerce; International; Outfitters; Third Party and Retail. It generates maximum revenue from the U.S. eCommerce segment. The U.S. eCommerce segment offers products through the company's eCommerce website. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the United States.
Executives
John Mcclain director C/O THE JONES GROUP INC., 1411 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10018
Angela S. Rieger officer: Chief Transformation Officer LANDS' END, INC., 1 LANDS' END LANE, DODGEVILLE WI 53595
Andrew J. Mclean director, officer: CEO - Designate 77 HOT METAL STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15203
Edward S Lampert 10 percent owner 1170 KANE CONCOURSE, SUITE 200, BAY HARBOUR FL 33154
Jerome Griffith director, officer: President and CEO C/O TUMI, INC., 1001 DURHAM AVENUE, SOUTH PLAINFIELD NJ 07080
Sarah W. Rasmusen officer: EVP, CHIEF CUSTOMER OFFICER LANDS' END, INC., 1 LANDS' END LANE, DODGEVILLE WI 53595
Jignesh Patel director 1 LANDS' END LANE, DODGEVILLE WI 53595
Chieh Tsai officer: CHIEF PRODUCT OFFICER LANDS' END, INC., 1 LANDS' END LANE, DODGEVILLE WI 53595
Peter L Gray officer: EVP & CAO C/O TUMI HOLDINGS INC, 1001 DURHAM AVE, SOUTH PLAINFIELD NJ 07080
James F Gooch officer: EVP, COO & CFO C/O 5500 TRILLIUM BOULEVARD, SUITE 501, HOFFMAN ESTATES IL 60192
Mccracken Bernard Louis Iii officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer 500 PLAZA DRIVE, SECAUCUS NJ 07094
Maureen Mullen director LANDS' END, INC., 1 LANDS' END LANE, DODGEVILLE WI 53595
Gill Brown Hong officer: EVP, CMO & Head of Intl. 1 LANDS' END LANE, DODGEVILLE WI 53595
Jonah Staw director 951 LONGRIDGE ROAD, OAKLAND CA 94610
Robert A Bowman director C/O MLB COM, 75 9TH AVE 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10011